SPY Trading Analysis: Top Is Being Formed

As of May 17, 2025, SPY trades at $594.2, close to its yearly high of $613.23. The ETF has gained 7.2% since April 2025 ($554.54) and 12.7% over the past year (May 2024: $527.37). On May 16, intraday prices ranged from $588.25 to $594.29, signaling opportunities for day traders. 
The S&P 500, tracked by SPY, erased a 15% year-to-date loss in just six weeks, marking its fastest recovery since 1982. SPY gained 0.4% year-to-date and saw significant inflows, including $2.1 billion on May 13 and $2 billion on May 14, boosting its assets under management to $598.8 billion by May 15. This was driven by a 90-day U.S.-China trade truce and robust Q1 2025 earnings, particularly from tech giants
The S&P 500 reported 13.4% earnings growth for Q1 2025, with 90% of companies beating estimates, benefiting SPY investors.
 

SPY is possibly reaching the peak of a long-term five-wave pattern. A rejection from the 590-600 zone will lead to a reversal downside and a test of the 500 uptrend line. The historic bounce from 480 does not mean that the downside has been finished. Although we could see a new high, a reversal lower from current levels is not excluded; therefore, you need to be cautious with the long trade entries. Learn to Trade ETFs profitably.

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SPY trading analysis monthly chart

 

The SPY weekly chart is revealing a double top neckline retest  586  level. A break above this resistance is needed for an upside continuation and a test of the 610-630 zone. Rejection here or an overthrow with a break below 580 will give us a good short trade entry. If we get a break above 586, we could see the extension higher, but the upside seems to be limited by long-term channel resistance.

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SPY trading analysis weekly chart

 

 

How can we trade this?

 

It is a fact that a strong upside resistance for Q2 2025 is 586, and if we get a confirmation of a reversal higher and a sustained extension above it, we could see a strong upside continuation to 610. You can try with a short-trade entry with SL above 605. If the SL will be taken reverse to a long trade entry. For inquiries about account management or copy trading, please write to [email protected] or contact me on WhatsApp or Live chat.

 

SPY trading analysis trade setup

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